Obama Wins Reelection, But Democrats Should Show Grace in Aftermath of Victory

Published: PolicyMic (November 7, 2012)

“When news of the surrender first reached our lines our men commenced firing a salute of a hundred guns in honor of the victory. I at once sent word, however, to have it stopped. The Confederates were now our prisoners, and we did not want to exult over their downfall.”

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Top 4 Reasons Why Exit Poll Results Are Completely Meaningless

Published: PolicyMic (November 6, 2012)

While pundits and pollsters alike will start crowing about the exit poll results soon, the truth is they could not matter less.

Here are the top four reasons why you shouldn’t care about the exit polls:

1) Non-response bias

In 2004, exit polls gave Senator John Kerry such a massive lead over President George W.

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Electoral College Map: Obama Will Win, See State By State Breakdown

Published: PolicyMic (November 6, 2012)

Jesse Merkel, my “opponent” in offering a prediction for the 2012 election, wrote this piece about me after the fact.

Editor’s Note: In this special Election Day feature, PolicyMic is spotlighting the election predictions of two of our most prominent pundits, conservative Jesse Merkel and liberal Matthew Rozsa.... Read Original Article

Pennsylvania Polls: Obama Holds On To Lead, Thanks To Republican Extremism”

Published: PolicyMic (November 4, 2012)

There are two quotes that best sum up Pennsylvania’s role in American democracy today. One comes from legendary political consultant James Carville: “Pennsylvania is Philadelphia in the east, Pittsburgh in the west, and Alabama in the middle.”

This adage will be useful when following Tuesday’s election returns in the Keystone State, although it’s a little oversimplified.

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Who Won the Debate: Obama and Romney Tie in an Uninspired Foreign Policy Debate”

Published: PolicyMic (October 22, 2012)

Editor’s Note: This represents instant analysis of the presidential debate on Monday night. For the author’s thoughts in the hour immediately before the debate began, see here.

Here are my first impressions about the third debate between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney on Monday evening:

1) The Big Points:

– Both men came across as confident and well-informed … and, most important of all, neither committed any serious gaffes.

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Presidential Debate Prediction: Why the Foreign Policy Debate Will Be a Tie”

Published: PolicyMic (October 22, 2012)

Here is my prediction for the third Obama-Romney debate at 9 p.m. EST at Lynn University in Florida: I think it’s going to be a draw, plain and simple.

This isn’t to say that I don’t think one of the two candidates will walk away with a narrow edge of “victory” over his opponent by the end of tonight.

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